Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-04-29 · 06:10 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-04-29. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 6.68, Philadelphia Phillies 4.22. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 30%, San Francisco Giants 70%. Projected total runs: 10.91.
San Francisco Giants
6.7
Predicted runs
70% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.2
Predicted runs
30% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.