Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-04-30 · 05:35 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-04-30. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 6.13, Philadelphia Phillies 4.23. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 35%, San Francisco Giants 65%. Projected total runs: 10.36.
San Francisco Giants
6.1
Predicted runs
65% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.2
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.