Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-05-01 · 07:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.99, Tampa Bay Rays 4.01. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 42%, San Francisco Giants 58%. Projected total runs: 9.
San Francisco Giants
5.0
Predicted runs
58% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
4.0
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.