Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-05-02 · 06:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 5.36, Tampa Bay Rays 3.47. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 33%, San Francisco Giants 67%. Projected total runs: 8.82.
San Francisco Giants
5.4
Predicted runs
67% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.5
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.