Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-21 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.67, Boston Red Sox 5.19. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 56%, San Francisco Giants 44%. Projected total runs: 9.86.
San Francisco Giants
4.7
Predicted runs
44% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.