Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-22 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 5.18, Boston Red Sox 5.58. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 55%, San Francisco Giants 45%. Projected total runs: 10.75.
San Francisco Giants
5.2
Predicted runs
45% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.6
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 10.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.