Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
2026-08-23 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-08-23. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.46, Boston Red Sox 5.19. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 57%, San Francisco Giants 43%. Projected total runs: 9.65.
San Francisco Giants
4.5
Predicted runs
43% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.