Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
2026-07-22 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: San Francisco Giants 4.5, Kansas City Royals 4.39. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 49%, San Francisco Giants 51%. Projected total runs: 8.89.
San Francisco Giants
4.5
Predicted runs
51% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.