Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros
2026-06-19 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-19. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.97, Houston Astros 4.19. Model win probability: Houston Astros 41%, Cleveland Guardians 59%. Projected total runs: 9.16.
Cleveland Guardians
5.0
Predicted runs
59% to win
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.