Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros
2026-06-21 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-21. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.31, Houston Astros 4. Model win probability: Houston Astros 48%, Cleveland Guardians 52%. Projected total runs: 8.32.
Cleveland Guardians
4.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Houston Astros
4.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.