Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Athletics
2026-05-02 · 04:05 PM ET · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.7, Athletics 4.94. Model win probability: Athletics 62%, Cleveland Guardians 38%. Projected total runs: 8.64.
Cleveland Guardians
3.7
Predicted runs
38% to win
Athletics
4.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.