Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Athletics
2026-05-03 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.98, Athletics 5.13. Model win probability: Athletics 61%, Cleveland Guardians 39%. Projected total runs: 9.12.
Cleveland Guardians
4.0
Predicted runs
39% to win
Athletics
5.1
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.