Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:43 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Cleveland Guardians @ Toronto Blue Jays

2026-04-26 · Rogers Centre

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.51, Toronto Blue Jays 5.65. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 60%, Cleveland Guardians 40%. Projected total runs: 10.16.

Cleveland Guardians
4.5
Predicted runs
40% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
5.7
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.