Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-10 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-10. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.98, Miami Marlins 3.83. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 48%, Cleveland Guardians 52%. Projected total runs: 7.81.
Cleveland Guardians
4.0
Predicted runs
52% to win
Miami Marlins
3.8
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
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