Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-11 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.71, Miami Marlins 3.55. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 48%, Cleveland Guardians 52%. Projected total runs: 7.26.
Cleveland Guardians
3.7
Predicted runs
52% to win
Miami Marlins
3.5
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.