Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-12 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.12, Miami Marlins 3.62. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 45%, Cleveland Guardians 55%. Projected total runs: 7.74.
Cleveland Guardians
4.1
Predicted runs
55% to win
Miami Marlins
3.6
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.