Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-22 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 2.95, Philadelphia Phillies 2.93. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 51%, Cleveland Guardians 49%. Projected total runs: 5.88.
Cleveland Guardians
3.0
Predicted runs
49% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
2.9
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 5.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.