Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-05-23 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-05-23. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.53, Philadelphia Phillies 3.42. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 50%, Cleveland Guardians 50%. Projected total runs: 6.95.
Cleveland Guardians
3.5
Predicted runs
50% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
3.4
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
