Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 3:33 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-25

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays on 2026-07-25. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.49, Tampa Bay Rays 3.54. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 50%, Cleveland Guardians 50%. Projected total runs: 7.03.

Cleveland Guardians
3.5
Predicted runs
50% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
3.5
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.