Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox

2026-09-23 · Fenway Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-09-23. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.97, Boston Red Sox 4.37. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 44%, Cleveland Guardians 56%. Projected total runs: 9.35.

Cleveland Guardians
5.0
Predicted runs
56% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.4
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.