Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds (Game 2)
2026-07-28 · 7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds (Game 2) at Great American Ball Park on 2026-07-28. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.1, Cincinnati Reds 3.85. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 49%, Cleveland Guardians 51%. Projected total runs: 7.95.
Cleveland Guardians
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.9
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.