Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies
2026-08-21 · Coors Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 5.43, Colorado Rockies 5.6. Model win probability: Colorado Rockies 52%, Cleveland Guardians 48%. Projected total runs: 11.03.
Cleveland Guardians
5.4
Predicted runs
48% to win
Colorado Rockies
5.6
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 11.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.