Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-05 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.91, Kansas City Royals 5.28. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 55%, Cleveland Guardians 45%. Projected total runs: 10.19.
Cleveland Guardians
4.9
Predicted runs
45% to win
Kansas City Royals
5.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 10.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.