Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-06 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-06. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.8, Kansas City Royals 6.04. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 69%, Cleveland Guardians 31%. Projected total runs: 9.84.
Cleveland Guardians
3.8
Predicted runs
31% to win
Kansas City Royals
6.0
Predicted runs
69% to win
Projected total: 9.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.