Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-07 · 02:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-07. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.58, Kansas City Royals 6.3. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 66%, Cleveland Guardians 34%. Projected total runs: 10.87.
Cleveland Guardians
4.6
Predicted runs
34% to win
Kansas City Royals
6.3
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 10.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.