Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-19 · 06:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-19. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.19, Detroit Tigers 2.75. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 44%, Cleveland Guardians 56%. Projected total runs: 5.93.
Cleveland Guardians
3.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
Detroit Tigers
2.8
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 5.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.