Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-20 · 06:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.08, Detroit Tigers 3.6. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 58%, Cleveland Guardians 42%. Projected total runs: 6.68.
Cleveland Guardians
3.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.6
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 6.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.