Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-21 · 01:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-21. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 3.32, Detroit Tigers 3.22. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 49%, Cleveland Guardians 51%. Projected total runs: 6.55.
Cleveland Guardians
3.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.