Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-08-11 · 06:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.66, Detroit Tigers 4.41. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 47%, Cleveland Guardians 53%. Projected total runs: 9.07.
Cleveland Guardians
4.7
Predicted runs
53% to win
Detroit Tigers
4.4
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.