Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-08-12 · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-08-12. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.47, Detroit Tigers 3.96. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 45%, Cleveland Guardians 55%. Projected total runs: 8.43.
Cleveland Guardians
4.5
Predicted runs
55% to win
Detroit Tigers
4.0
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.