Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers
2026-08-13 · 01:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-08-13. Predicted final score: Cleveland Guardians 4.37, Detroit Tigers 3.96. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 46%, Cleveland Guardians 54%. Projected total runs: 8.33.
Cleveland Guardians
4.4
Predicted runs
54% to win
Detroit Tigers
4.0
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.