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Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros

2026-05-11

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros on 2026-05-11. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 4.52, Houston Astros 4.8. Model win probability: Houston Astros 55%, Seattle Mariners 45%. Projected total runs: 9.32.

Seattle Mariners

4.5

Predicted runs

45% to win

Houston Astros

4.8

Predicted runs

55% to win

Projected total: 9.3 runs

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