Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
2026-05-11 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-11. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 4.52, Houston Astros 4.8. Model win probability: Houston Astros 55%, Seattle Mariners 45%. Projected total runs: 9.32.
Seattle Mariners
4.5
Predicted runs
45% to win
Houston Astros
4.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.