Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
2026-05-12 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 4.42, Houston Astros 4.38. Model win probability: Houston Astros 51%, Seattle Mariners 49%. Projected total runs: 8.8.
Seattle Mariners
4.4
Predicted runs
49% to win
Houston Astros
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.