Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
2026-05-13 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 4.43, Houston Astros 5.08. Model win probability: Houston Astros 58%, Seattle Mariners 42%. Projected total runs: 9.51.
Seattle Mariners
4.4
Predicted runs
42% to win
Houston Astros
5.1
Predicted runs
58% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.