Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-06-26 · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 3.9, Cleveland Guardians 3.57. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 47%, Seattle Mariners 53%. Projected total runs: 7.48.
Seattle Mariners
3.9
Predicted runs
53% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.6
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.