Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-23 · 06:40 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-23. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 3.64, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.88. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 54%, Seattle Mariners 46%. Projected total runs: 7.52.
Seattle Mariners
3.6
Predicted runs
46% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.9
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.