Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-06-24 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 3.92, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.39. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 45%, Seattle Mariners 55%. Projected total runs: 7.31.
Seattle Mariners
3.9
Predicted runs
55% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.4
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
