Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
2026-07-11 · Tropicana Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 3.78, Tampa Bay Rays 2.75. Model win probability: Tampa Bay Rays 38%, Seattle Mariners 62%. Projected total runs: 6.53.
Seattle Mariners
3.8
Predicted runs
62% to win
Tampa Bay Rays
2.8
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.