Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals
2026-05-22 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-05-22. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 4.4, Kansas City Royals 4.24. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 49%, Seattle Mariners 51%. Projected total runs: 8.64.
Seattle Mariners
4.4
Predicted runs
51% to win
Kansas City Royals
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.