Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
2026-08-11 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Seattle Mariners 3.97, New York Yankees 4.55. Model win probability: New York Yankees 57%, Seattle Mariners 43%. Projected total runs: 8.52.
Seattle Mariners
4.0
Predicted runs
43% to win
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.