Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros
2026-07-20 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-20. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.77, Houston Astros 4.15. Model win probability: Houston Astros 44%, Miami Marlins 56%. Projected total runs: 8.92.
Miami Marlins
4.8
Predicted runs
56% to win
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.