Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros
2026-07-21 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-21. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 5.02, Houston Astros 4.53. Model win probability: Houston Astros 46%, Miami Marlins 54%. Projected total runs: 9.55.
Miami Marlins
5.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Houston Astros
4.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.