Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros
2026-07-22 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.88, Houston Astros 4.15. Model win probability: Houston Astros 43%, Miami Marlins 57%. Projected total runs: 9.03.
Miami Marlins
4.9
Predicted runs
57% to win
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.