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Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros

2026-07-22

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Houston Astros on 2026-07-22. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.88, Houston Astros 4.15. Model win probability: Houston Astros 43%, Miami Marlins 57%. Projected total runs: 9.03.

Miami Marlins

4.9

Predicted runs

57% to win

Houston Astros

4.2

Predicted runs

43% to win

Projected total: 9.0 runs

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