Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Athletics
2026-07-04 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-07-04. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 5.53, Athletics 4.15. Model win probability: Athletics 39%, Miami Marlins 61%. Projected total runs: 9.68.
Miami Marlins
5.5
Predicted runs
61% to win
Athletics
4.2
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.