Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ Athletics
2026-07-05 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 3.28, Athletics 4.18. Model win probability: Athletics 61%, Miami Marlins 39%. Projected total runs: 7.46.
Miami Marlins
3.3
Predicted runs
39% to win
Athletics
4.2
Predicted runs
61% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.