Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

2026-08-04

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves on 2026-08-04. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 5.13, Atlanta Braves 4.47. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 43%, Miami Marlins 57%. Projected total runs: 9.6.

Miami Marlins
5.1
Predicted runs
57% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.5
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.