Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-26 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.09, St. Louis Cardinals 4.16. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 52%, Miami Marlins 48%. Projected total runs: 8.25.
Miami Marlins
4.1
Predicted runs
48% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.2
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.