Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-06-28 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.58, St. Louis Cardinals 3.87. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 45%, Miami Marlins 55%. Projected total runs: 8.45.
Miami Marlins
4.6
Predicted runs
55% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.9
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.