Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-09-16 · Chase Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-09-16. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 5.85, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.48. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 47%, Miami Marlins 53%. Projected total runs: 11.32.

Miami Marlins
5.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 11.3 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.