Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Miami Marlins @ San Francisco Giants
2026-04-26 · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Miami Marlins 4.51, San Francisco Giants 4.09. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 46%, Miami Marlins 54%. Projected total runs: 8.61.
Miami Marlins
4.5
Predicted runs
54% to win
San Francisco Giants
4.1
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.